Combat Edge Intelligence

Falaniko Vitale vs Mantas Kondratavičius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-11-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
808 Top TeamTeamFighter House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Falaniko VitaleNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.31
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
20%
Strike accuracy
33%
9.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
48%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
13.64
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Falaniko VitaleMantas Kondratavičius
16001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
12 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (13%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mantas Kondratavičius72%
Falaniko Vitale 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mantas Kondratavičius a 72% favorite over Falaniko Vitale in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Falaniko Vitale finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mantas Kondratavičius 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.