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Combat Edge Intelligence

Falaniko Vitale vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-11-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Falaniko VitaleNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Matthieu DuclosNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.31
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
20%
Strike accuracy
37%
9.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
48%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
86%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Falaniko VitaleMatthieu Duclos
16001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (47%)
KO/TKO
9 (82%)
12 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (13%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthieu Duclos55%
Falaniko Vitale 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 55% favorite over Falaniko Vitale in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Falaniko Vitale's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1660), separated by just 0 points.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Falaniko Vitale finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.