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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Fedor Duric

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-6-0LightweightUFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75″Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Spirit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fares ZiamNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Fedor DuricNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
52%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
1.86
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.52
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Fares ZiamFedor Duric
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (45%)
7 (39%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam55%
Fedor Duric 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 55% favorite over Fedor Duric in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fedor Duric's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1696), separated by just 2 points.

Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fedor Duric enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Fedor Duric 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.