Fares Ziam vs Kauê Fernandes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kauê Fernandes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693
If they win+18→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamKauê Fernandes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fares Ziam63%
Kauê Fernandes 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 63% favorite over Kauê Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1678, a 33-point edge.
Kauê Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Kauê Fernandes 73%.
Fares Ziam carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.