Fares Ziam vs MarQuel Mederos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record12-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75″Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamMarQuel Mederos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
MarQuel Mederos61%
Fares Ziam 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes MarQuel Mederos a 61% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1714), separated by just 3 points.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, MarQuel Mederos 58%.
Fares Ziam carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.