Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Michal Figlak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-5-0LightweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75″Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTrojan Free Fighters

What's at stake

Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michal Figlak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fares ZiamNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691
Michal FiglakNow 1619
If they win+20→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
4
53%
Strike accuracy
39%
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
65%
Strike defense
53%
1.73
Takedown avg.
0.50
41%
Takedown accuracy
13%
71%
Takedown defense
57%
0.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fares ZiamMichal Figlak
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam87%
Michal Figlak 13%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 87% favorite over Michal Figlak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1619, a 92-point edge.

Michal Figlak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Michal Figlak 50%.

Fares Ziam carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.