Fares Ziam vs Mike Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75″Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFusion X-Cel
What's at stake
Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693
If they win+18→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamMike Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fares Ziam70%
Mike Davis 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 70% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1677, a 34-point edge.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.
Fares Ziam carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.