Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Robert Watley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-5-0LightweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record16-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75″Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FC· avg 1684 EloTeamConquest BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fares ZiamNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Robert WatleyNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
1.73
Takedown avg.
TBD
41%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.46
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fares ZiamRobert Watley
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (25%)
7 (39%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam53%
Robert Watley 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 53% favorite over Robert Watley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1710), separated by just 1 points.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Robert Watley 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.