Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-5-0LightweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fares ZiamNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693
Terrance McKinneyNow 1661
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-10→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
53%
Strike accuracy
56%
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
65%
Strike defense
43%
1.73
Takedown avg.
3.31
41%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
73%
0.46
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Fares ZiamTerrance McKinney
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
4 (22%)
Submission
9 (50%)
7 (39%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Fares Ziam60%
Terrance McKinney 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 60% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1661, a 50-point edge.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Fares Ziam and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: Nazim Sadykhov.

Fares Ziam carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2025
Nazim Sadykhov
LossSubmission · 2023