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Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fares Ziam
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Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-6-0LightweightUFC

1694Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Fares ZiamNow 1694
If they win+15→ 1709
If they lose-17→ 1677
Terrance McKinneyNow 1662
If they win+13→ 1675
If they lose-11→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
6.83
52%
Strike accuracy
56%
1.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
64%
Strike defense
43%
1.86
Takedown avg.
3.27
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
73%
0.52
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Fares ZiamTerrance McKinney
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
4 (22%)
Submission
9 (50%)
7 (39%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance McKinney52%
Fares Ziam 48%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance McKinney a 52% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fares Ziam's way (45%).

Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1662, a 32-point edge.

Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Fares Ziam and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: Nazim Sadykhov.

Fares Ziam carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2025
Nazim Sadykhov
LossSubmission · 2023