Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Compton Training Centre
What's at stake
Tom Nolan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Fares Ziam carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1728
If they lose-15→ 1696
If they win+15→ 1741
If they lose-17→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamTom Nolan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Nolan59%
Fares Ziam 41%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Nolan a 59% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Tom Nolan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1711, a 15-point edge.
Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tom Nolan 55%.
Fares Ziam carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.