Combat Edge Intelligence

Farman Hasanov vs Nathan Coy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nathan Coy
us

Nathan Coy

“Soulforce”

15-7-0WelterweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record15-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach39,0"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farman HasanovNow 1638
If they win+24→ 1662
If they lose-24→ 1614
Nathan CoyNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Farman HasanovNathan Coy
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
2 (33%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Farman Hasanov83%
Nathan Coy 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farman Hasanov a 83% favorite over Nathan Coy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Coy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Farman Hasanov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Farman Hasanov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Coy 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.