Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Francisco France

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record13-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach38,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Unit MMATeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Francisco FranceNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaFrancisco France
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
12 (92%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia63%
Francisco France 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 63% favorite over Francisco France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Francisco France enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Francisco France 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.