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Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Gustavo Rocha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
The Unit MMATeamAlcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Gustavo RochaNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaGustavo Rocha
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia53%
Gustavo Rocha 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 53% favorite over Gustavo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Rocha 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.