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Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Josh Samman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-Reach79,0"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
The Unit MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Josh SammanNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
Not available
Strike defense
35%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.09
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaJosh Samman
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (25%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Farshad Nazarnia and Josh Samman within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Josh Samman 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.