Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Mac Laursen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record8-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight177 lbs
The Unit MMATeamChampion's Creed MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Mac LaursenNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaMac Laursen
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
1 (20%)
Submission
7 (88%)
2 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia56%
Mac Laursen 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 56% favorite over Mac Laursen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mac Laursen 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.