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Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Marcelo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Unit MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Marcelo GuimaraesNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.41
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.99
Not available
Takedown accuracy
14%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaMarcelo Guimaraes
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (40%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia54%
Marcelo Guimaraes 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 54% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Guimaraes 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.