Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Steve Byrnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record6-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Unit MMATeamMMA Development

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585
Steve ByrnesNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
TBD
Strike defense
27%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaSteve Byrnes
1500155016001650200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (83%)
2 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia60%
Steve Byrnes 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 60% favorite over Steve Byrnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Steve Byrnes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.