Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Tim McKenzie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tim McKenzie
us

Tim McKenzie

“The Wrecking Machine”

14-9-0MiddleweightSF

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight174 lbs
The Unit MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Tim McKenzieNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaTim McKenzie
1500155016001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia66%
Tim McKenzie 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 66% favorite over Tim McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tim McKenzie 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.