Fedor Emelianenko vs Francis Ngannou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-7-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach83"
237 lbsWeight257 lbs
FedorTeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Fedor Emelianenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Francis Ngannou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1872
If they lose-13→ 1848
If they win+17→ 1856
If they lose-15→ 1824
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fedor EmelianenkoFrancis Ngannou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Ngannou72%
Fedor Emelianenko 28%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Ngannou a 72% favorite over Fedor Emelianenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fedor Emelianenko's way (47%).
Fedor Emelianenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1861 to 1839, a 22-point edge.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Fedor Emelianenko finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Francis Ngannou 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.