Combat Edge Intelligence

Felice Herrig vs Kailin Curran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"Reach37,0"
115 lbsWeight113 lbs
Team CurranTeamRVCA

What's at stake

Felice Herrig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felice HerrigNow 1556
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-20→ 1536
Kailin CurranNow 1471
If they win+20→ 1491
If they lose-12→ 1459

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
38%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.75
48%
Strike defense
53%
1.08
Takedown avg.
2
29%
Takedown accuracy
58%
75%
Takedown defense
62%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Felice HerrigKailin Curran
145015001550201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (17%)
9 (64%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Felice Herrig53%
Kailin Curran 47%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Felice Herrig a 53% favorite over Kailin Curran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Felice Herrig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1556 to 1471, a 85-point edge.

Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.