Felice Herrig vs Lisa Ellis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record15-11-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
65"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight110 lbs
Team CurranTeamUnited Training Center
What's at stake
Felice Herrig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lisa Ellis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1571
If they lose-17→ 1539
If they win+13→ 1544
If they lose-11→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felice HerrigLisa Ellis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Felice Herrig and Lisa Ellis within a point of even.
Felice Herrig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1556 to 1531, a 25-point edge.
Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Lisa Ellis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Lisa Ellis 73%.
Felice Herrig and Lisa Ellis share 1 common opponent: Virna Jandiroba.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.