Combat Edge Intelligence

Felice Herrig vs Namiko Kawabata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record7-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
65"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight108 lbs
Team CurranTeamMouri Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felice HerrigNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Namiko KawabataNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.81
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felice HerrigNamiko Kawabata
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (14%)
9 (64%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Namiko Kawabata70%
Felice Herrig 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Namiko Kawabata a 70% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Namiko Kawabata 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.