Felice Herrig vs Natalie Salcedo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record4-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'0"
65"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team CurranTeamWarrior Fitness Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felice HerrigNatalie Salcedo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natalie Salcedo78%
Felice Herrig 22%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Natalie Salcedo a 78% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felice Herrig's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1549), separated by just 7 points.
Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Natalie Salcedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Natalie Salcedo 75%.
Felice Herrig carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.