Combat Edge Intelligence

Felice Herrig vs Virna Jandiroba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record23-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
65"Reach 64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team CurranTeamFight House

What's at stake

Virna Jandiroba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Felice Herrig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felice HerrigNow 1556
If they win+25→ 1581
If they lose-7→ 1549
Virna JandirobaNow 1770
If they win+7→ 1777
If they lose-25→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
48%
Strike defense
56%
1.08
Takedown avg.
2.85
29%
Takedown accuracy
38%
75%
Takedown defense
74%
0.81
Submission avg.
1.52

Trajectory

Felice HerrigVirna Jandiroba
16001700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
4 (29%)
Submission
14 (61%)
9 (64%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Virna Jandiroba88%
Felice Herrig 12%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Virna Jandiroba a 88% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Virna Jandiroba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1556, a 214-point edge.

Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Virna Jandiroba 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.