Felicia Spencer vs Gina Carano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
The Jungle MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Felicia Spencer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gina Carano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-18→ 1632
If they win+28→ 1624
If they lose-20→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felicia SpencerGina Carano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felicia Spencer72%
Gina Carano 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Felicia Spencer a 72% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Felicia Spencer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1596, a 54-point edge.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felicia Spencer finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gina Carano 57%.
Felicia Spencer and Gina Carano share 1 common opponent: Cris Cyborg.
Felicia Spencer carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.