Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Arantes vs Iuri Alcantara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-1Record35-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamMarajo Brothers Team

What's at stake

Iuri Alcantara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+17→ 1562
If they lose-7→ 1538
Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+7→ 1705
If they lose-17→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
64%
Strike defense
49%
0.93
Takedown avg.
1.44
47%
Takedown accuracy
63%
41%
Takedown defense
60%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Felipe ArantesIuri Alcantara
15501600165017002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
6 (33%)
Submission
14 (40%)
5 (28%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Iuri Alcantara71%
Felipe Arantes 29%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Iuri Alcantara a 71% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Iuri Alcantara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1545, a 153-point edge.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Iuri Alcantara 80%.

Felipe Arantes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.