Felipe Arantes vs Jake McHugh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-1Record4-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe ArantesJake McHugh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake McHugh63%
Felipe Arantes 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake McHugh a 63% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Arantes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1545), separated by just 0 points.
Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jake McHugh 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.