Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Arantes vs Jerrod Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-1Record16-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73,0"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAmerican Top Team OKC

What's at stake

Jerrod Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+15→ 1560
If they lose-9→ 1536
Jerrod SandersNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-20→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
45%
Strike accuracy
65%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.14
64%
Strike defense
47%
0.93
Takedown avg.
2.20
47%
Takedown accuracy
33%
41%
Takedown defense
50%
0.73
Submission avg.
1.65

Trajectory

Felipe ArantesJerrod Sanders
155016001650201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
6 (33%)
Submission
6 (38%)
5 (28%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jerrod Sanders58%
Felipe Arantes 42%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Jerrod Sanders a 58% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Jerrod Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1545, a 95-point edge.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jerrod Sanders 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.