Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Arantes vs Kacper Wróbel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-1Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
73,0"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamWCA Warszawa

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
Kacper WróbelNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
0.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
41%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.73
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe ArantesKacper Wróbel
155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
6 (33%)
Submission
1 (33%)
5 (28%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kacper Wróbel67%
Felipe Arantes 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Wróbel a 67% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Wróbel 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.