Felipe Arantes vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-1Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
73,0"Reach44.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDS Team
What's at stake
Kevin Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1558
If they lose-11→ 1534
If they win+21→ 1603
If they lose-27→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe ArantesKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Souza61%
Felipe Arantes 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Souza a 61% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Kevin Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1545, a 37-point edge.
Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.