Felipe Arantes vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-1Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
73,0"Reach44.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDS Team
What's at stake
Kevin Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1559
If they lose-11→ 1535
If they win+22→ 1604
If they lose-26→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe ArantesKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Arantes54%
Kevin Souza 46%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Arantes a 54% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Souza's way (45%).
Kevin Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1546, a 36-point edge.
Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.