Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Arantes vs Milton Vieira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-1Record13-8-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
73,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRio Fighters

What's at stake

Milton Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+13→ 1558
If they lose-11→ 1534
Milton VieiraNow 1575
If they win+15→ 1590
If they lose-17→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
64%
Strike defense
48%
0.93
Takedown avg.
2.67
47%
Takedown accuracy
53%
41%
Takedown defense
13%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Felipe ArantesMilton Vieira
1550160020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (33%)
Submission
9 (69%)
5 (28%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Felipe Arantes and Milton Vieira within a point of even.

Milton Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1545, a 30-point edge.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Felipe Arantes finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Milton Vieira 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.