Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Bunes vs Joe Hiramoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record3-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamGoukikai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe BunesNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Joe HiramotoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.26
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe BunesJoe Hiramoto
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
9 (69%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Hiramoto87%
Felipe Bunes 13%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Hiramoto a 87% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Bunes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1559), separated by just 0 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Hiramoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Joe Hiramoto 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.