Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Bunes vs Nate Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nate Smith
us

Nate Smith

“The Savage”

8-4-0FlyweightLFA

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe BunesNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Nate SmithNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
51%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
45%
Strike defense
36%
1.13
Takedown avg.
0
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
33%
2.26
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Felipe BunesNate Smith
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
9 (69%)
Submission
4 (50%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Felipe Bunes and Nate Smith within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1558), separated by just 3 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nate Smith enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nate Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.