Felipe Bunes vs Rafael Montouro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record9-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1623 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamBonsai Jiu-Jitsu· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe BunesRafael Montouro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Bunes53%
Rafael Montouro 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Bunes a 53% favorite over Rafael Montouro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1586), separated by just 0 points.
Rafael Montouro enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Felipe Bunes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Montouro 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.