Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Colares vs Isaac Thomson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Isaac ThomsonNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
0
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
37%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe ColaresIsaac Thomson
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (11%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Thomson60%
Felipe Colares 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 60% favorite over Felipe Colares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Colares's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.

Felipe Colares finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Thomson 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.