Felipe Colares vs Luke Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record13-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamNashville MMA
What's at stake
Luke Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Felipe Colares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1635
If they lose-14→ 1603
If they win+14→ 1677
If they lose-18→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe ColaresLuke Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Colares53%
Luke Sanders 47%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Colares a 53% favorite over Luke Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Sanders's way (43%).
Luke Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1617, a 46-point edge.
Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felipe Colares finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Luke Sanders 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.