Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Colares vs Mansur Khatuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record17-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'5"
69"Reach-
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Mansur KhatuevNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
37%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
24%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe ColaresMansur Khatuev
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
6 (55%)
Submission
4 (24%)
3 (27%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Khatuev60%
Felipe Colares 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Khatuev a 60% favorite over Felipe Colares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Felipe Colares finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Khatuev 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.