Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Colares vs Montel Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach75″
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamRed Schafer MMA

What's at stake

Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Felipe Colares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+22→ 1639
If they lose-10→ 1607
Montel JacksonNow 1744
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-22→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.17
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
37%
Strike defense
61%
1.88
Takedown avg.
3
24%
Takedown accuracy
64%
43%
Takedown defense
68%
0.51
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Felipe ColaresMontel Jackson
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Montel Jackson76%
Felipe Colares 24%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 76% favorite over Felipe Colares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1617, a 127-point edge.

Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Colares finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 60%.

Montel Jackson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.