Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe dos Santos vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record22-7-2
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe dos SantosNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
37%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
42%
Strike defense
35%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
14%
Takedown defense
0%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Felipe dos SantosPedro Nobre
1600202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (38%)
Submission
6 (27%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe dos Santos66%
Pedro Nobre 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe dos Santos a 66% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Nobre's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1587), separated by just 5 points.

Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.