Felipe dos Santos vs Yuma Horiuchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record11-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTitan Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe dos SantosYuma Horiuchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yuma Horiuchi61%
Felipe dos Santos 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yuma Horiuchi a 61% favorite over Felipe dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe dos Santos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1558), separated by just 2 points.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yuma Horiuchi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yuma Horiuchi 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.