Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe dos Santos vs Yuma Horiuchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTitan Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe dos SantosNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Yuma HoriuchiNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
37%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
42%
Strike defense
35%
0
Takedown avg.
2
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
14%
Takedown defense
0%
0.33
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Felipe dos SantosYuma Horiuchi
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (38%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (38%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe dos Santos60%
Yuma Horiuchi 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe dos Santos a 60% favorite over Yuma Horiuchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1578), separated by just 4 points.

Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yuma Horiuchi 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.