Felipe Franco vs Guy Mezger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record30-13-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamLion's Den Dallas
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FrancoGuy Mezger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Franco56%
Guy Mezger 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 56% favorite over Guy Mezger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.
Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Guy Mezger 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.