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Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Ivan Gnizditskiy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1677 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamChingi Tura

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Ivan GnizditskiyNow 1643
If they win+24→ 1667
If they lose-24→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.55
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
3.70
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
88%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoIvan Gnizditskiy
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
4 (36%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco55%
Ivan Gnizditskiy 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 55% favorite over Ivan Gnizditskiy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Gnizditskiy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1643), separated by just 3 points.

Ivan Gnizditskiy enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Gnizditskiy 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.