Felipe Froes vs Francisco Trevino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-1Record13-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMacaco Gold Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FroesFrancisco Trevino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Froes72%
Francisco Trevino 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 72% favorite over Francisco Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.
Felipe Froes finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Trevino 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.