Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Froes vs Joe Giannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Felipe Froes
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Felipe Froes

“Saiyajin”

27-12-1WelterweightACA

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

27-12-1Record16-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach42,0"
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FroesNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Felipe FroesJoe Giannetti
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
2 (7%)
Submission
8 (50%)
13 (48%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Froes60%
Joe Giannetti 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 60% favorite over Joe Giannetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Felipe Froes finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.