Felipe Froes vs John Gunderson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-1Record35-16-2
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
158 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FroesJohn Gunderson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Froes70%
John Gunderson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 70% favorite over John Gunderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Felipe Froes finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, John Gunderson 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.