Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Froes vs Per Eklund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Felipe Froes
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Felipe Froes

“Saiyajin”

27-12-1WelterweightACA

1620Solid

Tale of the tape

27-12-1Record14-5-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
158 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamOrla

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FroesNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Per EklundNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.38
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.62

Trajectory

Felipe FroesPer Eklund
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (7%)
Submission
7 (54%)
13 (48%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Froes79%
Per Eklund 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 79% favorite over Per Eklund in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Per Eklund enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Froes finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Per Eklund 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.