Felipe Olivieri vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,0"Reach73.5"
160 lbsWeight160 lbs
Nova UniaoTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe OlivieriTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tracy Reeder85%
Felipe Olivieri 15%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Reeder a 85% favorite over Felipe Olivieri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Olivieri's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.
Felipe Olivieri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Felipe Olivieri finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Tracy Reeder carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.