Felipe Rosa vs Mac Laursen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record8-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight177 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe RosaMac Laursen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mac Laursen51%
Felipe Rosa 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mac Laursen a 51% favorite over Felipe Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Felipe Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Felipe Rosa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mac Laursen 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.