Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Rosa vs Shadid Abdurazakov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record13-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
TeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe RosaNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584
Shadid AbdurazakovNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe RosaShadid Abdurazakov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Rosa52%
Shadid Abdurazakov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Rosa a 52% favorite over Shadid Abdurazakov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shadid Abdurazakov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Felipe Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Felipe Rosa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shadid Abdurazakov 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.