Felipe Silva vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CM SystemTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
Shane Campbell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Felipe Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-10→ 1483
If they win+7→ 1641
If they lose-17→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe SilvaShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Campbell75%
Felipe Silva 25%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 75% favorite over Felipe Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Shane Campbell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1493, a 141-point edge.
Felipe Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Felipe Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Felipe Silva carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.