Felipe Silva vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
Shane Campbell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Felipe Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1518
If they lose-9→ 1486
If they win+7→ 1658
If they lose-17→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Felipe SilvaShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Campbell71%
Felipe Silva 29%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 71% favorite over Felipe Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Shane Campbell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1495, a 156-point edge.
Felipe Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Felipe Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Felipe Silva carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.